Week three picks!

I kinda hate talking about football!  I'm mad at myself for loving the game!  But it's like crack!  I can't stop.

I... can't.... stop....

Here are the picks, home team in bold.  Hopefully I'll do better then last week.

Atlanta(-6.5) over Tampa Bay

I'm shocked this line wasn't higher, the only game Tampa has been in was against St. Louis, and they still didn't look good in that one.  Obviously the results seem obvious now, but don't be surprised if Tampa pulls out another 0-16 season, which I think would make them the only team in history to do that twice.

Buffalo(+2) over San Diego

Buffalo has all the karma and mojo in the world going their way, they're not moving to Canada, the best player in Bills history who isn't a murderer is cancer free, and they have exciting, young players.  San Diego is going to be riding high after the win over Seattle, and I think they'll look past Buffalo.  I'll be shocked if Buffalo loses this game.

Dallas(-1.5) over St. Louis

As bad as Dallas was in week one, I thought their defense actually looked pretty good against San Francisco.  They did hold them scoreless in the second half.  St. Louis got stomped at home by the horrible Vikings, and barely beat Tampa Bay.  I expect a bad Dallas team to easily win this one.

Philadelphia(-6) over Washington

I think Cousins fits the Redskins scheme better then Griffin, and when your head coach doesn't seem bothered that the starting QB is out for a while, you know he thinks the same thing.  However, this is the NFC East, and everyone there blows, but I think Philly wins and covers simply because of their crazy speed offense.  I'm not expecting Washington to get 10 sacks again either.

Houston(-1.5) over New York Giants

Bwahahahaha, this Houston defense is going to eat Eli Manning alive.  I know this line is this low because of Ryan Fitzpatrick, but c'mon, this is silly.

Minnesota(+10) over New Orleans

I think the Saints will win here, but their defense is pretty bad, so I don't see them covering. This might be the last we see of Matt Cassel before Teddy Bridgewater comes in and becomes their franchise quarterback.

Seriously, I loved the Bridgewater pick for Minnesota in the draft.  I think he's the real deal, and I think he will be a very good quarterback in the league for many years.  Big fan of Bridgewater.

Cincinnati(-7) over Tennessee

Cincinnati is slowly turning into Seahawks light.  Their defense is playing phenomenally, Dalton is playing smart, and they have a great running game.  They'll dominate in the AFC this season, since the AFC is, well, NFL light.

Cleveland(+2) over Baltimore

Cleveland is 1-1, but they've played great in both those games.  Welcome Baltimore, playing their first road game of the season, and coming to a pretty rabid fanbase.  There will be a few Ray Rice signs in the stands, that's for sure.  I don't see Baltimore playing better then Cleveland here, I'm pretty sure the Browns will win this one straight up.

Green Bay(+2.5) over Detroit

Rodgers is better then Stafford.  Yeah, Megatron is better then, well, everybody, but I don't think the Lions will be able to either stop Rodgers, or keep up with him.  The NFC North is up for the taking - unless Chicago grabs it by the haunches - so I don't really trust any of these teams.  But I do think the Pack is better then Detroit, even in Detroit.

Indianapolis(-7) over Jacksonville

I don't like this line because of how Indianapolis has been playing, but Jacksonville is really bad.  They need to go ahead and start the Blake Bortles era to give the fans something to cheer for.  I expect Indy to win, but I really don't know if they'll cover.

Oakland(+14.5) over New England

Oakland is bad - worse then I thought they'd be - but this is too many points to not take.  New England is going to win this game, but they're not the New England of old either.  I'll take the points here.

Arizona(+3) over San Francisco

San Francisco, coming off of a bad home loss and a weird win over Dallas, heads to the first place(!) Cardinals and are FAVORED?!?!  Yeah, this is one that is simply wrong.  Kaepernick clearly shows he wants to give the other team the ball as much as possible, a problem normally showcased by Carson Palmer on Arizona.  Arizona plays defense the way San Fran wants too, but I just can't see the Niners winning this one on the road.

Seattle(-4.5) over Denver

Seattle is rarely on primetime in Seattle because the league doesn't like how badly they beat their opponents.  Seattle beats the crap out people at the clink.  Denver is no exception.  One thing I am very concerned about in this game is the return of Wes Welker - not for his ability as a receiver, but for his ability to stay on the field.  Welker is becoming more and more concussion prone, and he is fearless across the middle of the field.  That is a bad combo, and with how hard Seattle hits - especially over the middle - I worry for his health.  I like Welker, I wish him the best, but I'm worried something bad will happen to him in this game, and if not on Sunday, then this season.  I hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.

Miami(-3.5) over Kansas City

Miami is playing really well.  The loss of Moreno hurts - badly - but Kansas City is without Jamal Charles (I think - he's been listed as a game time decision) and if he doesn't play that really evens out the playing field, and when both teams are without their best backs, I'll go to the home team every time.

Carolina(-3) over Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh is really bad.  Like, really, really, REALLY bad.  And I don't think people realize that.  I think people see the name Pittsburgh and they just assume "Oh, they're always good, they'll continue being good."  Not this year.  It's also starting to look like the pick of Carolina as a team plummeting back to earth after last year is going to be wrong as well.  This is a primetime game with Cam Newton, and I think he'll put on a show.

Bears(+2.5) over New York Jets

The Bears just beat favored San Francisco on the road, and now they go on the road to the much worse New York Jets, and are still underdogs?  They're winning this one, I'm sorry.

Last Week:  5-11
Overall:       13-18-1